Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.046407 0.050510 0.054669 0.059194 0.063969 0.068852 0.074217
2024-10-06 0.040599 0.046712 0.053135 0.060362 0.068237 0.076533 0.085907
2024-10-13 0.035936 0.043509 0.051732 0.061258 0.071927 0.083447 0.096763
2024-10-20 0.031165 0.039658 0.049172 0.060502 0.073512 0.087871 0.104803
2024-10-27 0.028200 0.037530 0.048278 0.061387 0.076760 0.094038 0.114748
2024-11-03 0.025004 0.034811 0.046425 0.060923 0.078269 0.098100 0.122229
2024-11-10 0.022662 0.032905 0.045346 0.061204 0.080514 0.102922 0.130537
2024-11-17 0.020907 0.031565 0.044817 0.062025 0.083312 0.108334 0.139516
2024-11-24 0.020347 0.031696 0.046069 0.065009 0.088721 0.116870 0.152241
2024-12-01 0.017786 0.028974 0.043517 0.063074 0.087965 0.117908 0.155957
2024-12-08 0.016053 0.027237 0.042120 0.062495 0.088800 0.120805 0.161864
2024-12-15 0.014591 0.025764 0.040974 0.062150 0.089858 0.123928 0.168017
2024-12-22 0.014091 0.025673 0.041719 0.064352 0.094265 0.131339 0.179627
2024-12-29 0.013265 0.025039 0.041677 0.065483 0.097297 0.137065 0.189224
2025-01-05 0.012429 0.024328 0.041480 0.066374 0.100004 0.142395 0.198370
2025-01-12 0.011153 0.022831 0.040078 0.065544 0.100394 0.144754 0.203792
2025-01-19 0.010485 0.022248 0.039960 0.066461 0.103090 0.150063 0.212953
2025-01-26 0.009496 0.021058 0.038875 0.065962 0.103840 0.152842 0.218903
2025-02-02 0.008793 0.020288 0.038374 0.066253 0.105635 0.156965 0.226572
2025-02-09 0.008287 0.019815 0.038290 0.067118 0.108199 0.162090 0.235541
2025-02-16 0.008339 0.020336 0.039759 0.070266 0.113945 0.171442 0.250019
2025-02-23 0.007249 0.018691 0.037745 0.068223 0.112426 0.171161 0.252013
2025-03-02 0.006551 0.017709 0.036730 0.067611 0.112868 0.173454 0.257337